AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd. [AGO] Stock Forecast

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AGO Stock Summary

Earnings have grown 48.39% per last year.

EPS has been increasing for the past 3 quarters (Quarter statements)

AGO has more than 2 years of cash runway (28 months)

Earnings are expected to fall -100% next year

Profit margins (0.61%) are lower than the previous year (0.73%)

An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition.

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AGO Financial details

Company Rating

Buy

Market Cap

4.41B

Income

739M

Revenue

1.22B

Book val./share

100.23

Cash/share

141.49

Dividend

1.15

Dividend %

1.37%

Employees

350

Optionable

Shortable

Yes

Earnings

07 May 2024

P/E

6.47

Forward P/E

PEG

0.12

P/S

3.81

P/B

0.84

P/C

0.55

P/FCF

10.1

Quick Ratio

25.54

Current Ratio

25.54

Debt / Equity

0.3

LT Debt / Equity

0.29

EPS (TTM)

12.76

EPS next Y

EPS next Q

EPS this Y

540.31%

EPS next Y

EPS next 5Y

EPS last 5Y

25.44%

Revenue last 5Y

1.96%

Revenue Q/Q

-42.68%

EPS Q/Q

146.27%

SMA20

-14.29%

SMA50

-4.88%

SMA100

16.42%

Inst Own

68.35%

Inst Trans

0.79%

ROA

ROE

14%

ROC

0.05%

Gross Margin

86%

Oper. Margin

50%

Profit Margin

61%

Payout

Shs Outstand

Shs Float

Target Price

52W Range

49.84-96.6

52W High

-19.53%

52W Low

+57.66%

RSI

Rel Volume

0.75

Avg Volume

391.94K

Volume

293.29K

Perf Week

-2.9%

Perf Month

-14.45%

Perf Quarter

28.03%

Perf Half Y

22.35%

Beta

1.117

Volatility

1.17%, 5.34%

Prev Close

1.3%

Price

77.254

Change

-0.69%

AGO Financial Performance

Yearly Fundamentals Overview

Last date of statement is 2023-12-31

Metric	2019-12-31	2020-12-31	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31
	2.02K	2.02K	2.02K	2.02K	2.02K
Revenue per share	9.27	12.68	9.5	10.87	17.38
Net income per share	4.05	4.23	5.29	1.97	12.65
Operating cash flow per share	-5.13	-9.98	-26.35	-39.41	7.89
Free cash flow per share	-5.13	-9.98	-26.35	-39.01	7.89
Cash per share	103.64	114.46	129.89	127.76	138.1
Book value per share	66.86	77.7	85.61	80.51	97.83
Tangible book value per share	129.66	162.65	222.59	81.54	185.6
Share holders equity per share	66.86	77.7	85.61	80.51	97.83
Interest debt per share	13.53	15.54	24.26	28.28	30.82
Market cap	4.87B	2.69B	3.69B	3.92B	4.37B
Enterprise value	5.93B	3.75B	5.24B	5.48B	5.97B
P/E ratio	12.11	7.44	9.49	31.58	5.91
Price to sales ratio	5.29	2.48	5.29	5.73	4.31
POCF ratio	-9.56	-3.16	-1.9	-1.58	9.48
PFCF ratio	-9.56	-3.16	-1.9	-1.6	9.48
P/B Ratio	0.73	0.41	0.59	0.77	0.76
PTB ratio	0.73	0.41	0.59	0.77	0.76
EV to sales	6.44	3.46	7.51	8.02	5.88
Enterprise value over EBITDA	12.9	11.31	12.31	25.39	9.24
EV to operating cash flow	-11.66	-4.4	-2.71	-2.21	12.94
EV to free cash flow	-11.66	-4.4	-2.71	-2.23	12.94
Earnings yield	0.08	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.17
Free cash flow yield	-0.1	-0.32	-0.52	-0.63	0.11
Debt to equity	0.19	0.19	0.27	0.34	0.3
Debt to assets	0.09	0.08	0.09	0.1	0.14
Net debt to EBITDA	2.32	3.2	3.65	7.26	2.47
Current ratio	11.4	10.83	12.63	32.29	20.45
Interest coverage	5.17	3.91	4.9	2.51	7.18
Income quality	-1.27	-2.32	-4.62	-18.09	0.61
Dividend Yield	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.02
Payout ratio	0.18	0.19	0.17	0.52	0.09
Sales general and administrative to revenue	0.19	0.21	0.33	0.38	0.25
Research and developement to revenue	0	0	0	0	0
Intangibles to total assets	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0
Capex to operating cash flow	0	0	0	-0.01	0
Capex to revenue	0	0	0	0.04	0
Capex to depreciation	0	0	0	2.27	0
Stock based compensation to revenue	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.06	0
Graham number	78.04	86.03	100.97	59.76	166.89
ROIC	0.05	0.04	0.05	0.03	0.1
Return on tangible assets	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.06
Graham Net	88.4	100.48	104.8	-60.58	81.5
Working capital	11.24B	11.03B	10.79B	9.29B	7.49B
Tangible asset value	12.88B	13.91B	16.36B	5.13B	10.84B
Net current asset value	11.09B	10.93B	10.05B	-1.96B	6.18B
Invested capital	0.19	0.19	0.27	0.34	0.3
Average receivables	1.71B	2.2B	2.27B	1.86B	1.66B
Average payables	15M	31.5M	24.5M	8.5M	500K
Average inventory	-1.8B	-3.55B	-3.54B	-3.26B	-4.4B
Days sales outstanding	805.69	795.66	1.14K	829.79	635.06
Days payables outstanding	87.6	61.14	32.63	2.19	0
Days of inventory on hand	-10.53K	-6.46K	-7.34K	-6.39K	-9.88K
Receivables turnover	0.45	0.46	0.32	0.44	0.57
Payables turnover	4.17	5.97	11.19	167	0
Inventory turnover	-0.03	-0.06	-0.05	-0.06	-0.04
ROE	0.06	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.13
Capex per share	0	0	0	0.4	0

Quarterly Fundamentals Overview

Last date of statement is 2023-12-31 for Q4

Metric	2022-12-31	2023-03-31	2023-06-30	2023-09-30	2023-12-31
	2.02K	2.02K	2.02K	2.02K	2.02K
Revenue per share	5.1	3.89	6.03	6.89	4.05
Net income per share	1.57	1.37	2.11	2.68	6.6
Operating cash flow per share	-10.55	5.28	2.09	-3.04	3.56
Free cash flow per share	-10.55	5.28	2.09	-3.04	3.56
Cash per share	134.38	139.76	139.39	133.35	141.49
Book value per share	84.68	88.32	89.12	89.78	100.23
Tangible book value per share	85.77	255.43	256.23	175.13	190.16
Share holders equity per share	84.68	88.32	89.12	89.78	100.23
Interest debt per share	28.75	28.71	28.7	29.35	30.4
Market cap	3.72B	2.97B	3.3B	3.54B	4.27B
Enterprise value	5.29B	4.53B	4.87B	5.13B	5.86B
P/E ratio	9.9	9.17	6.61	5.64	2.84
Price to sales ratio	12.21	12.92	9.25	8.79	18.46
POCF ratio	-5.9	9.52	26.64	-19.89	21.01
PFCF ratio	-5.9	9.52	26.64	-19.89	21.01
P/B Ratio	0.74	0.57	0.63	0.67	0.75
PTB ratio	0.74	0.57	0.63	0.67	0.75
EV to sales	17.35	19.69	13.63	12.72	25.38
Enterprise value over EBITDA	40.08	36.23	35.26	25.63	0
EV to operating cash flow	-8.39	14.52	39.24	-28.79	28.88
EV to free cash flow	-8.39	14.52	39.24	-28.79	28.88
Earnings yield	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.09
Free cash flow yield	-0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.05	0.05
Debt to equity	0.34	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.3
Debt to assets	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.14	0.14
Net debt to EBITDA	11.88	12.46	11.33	7.93	0
Current ratio	32.29	21.31	18.48	19.62	25.54
Interest coverage	6.86	5.19	6.27	8.33	7.17
Income quality	-5.09	3.85	0.99	-1.13	0.54
Dividend Yield	0	0.01	0.01	0	0
Payout ratio	0.16	0.22	0.14	0.1	0.04
Sales general and administrative to revenue	0.23	0.36	0.2	0.12	0.23
Research and developement to revenue	0	0	0	0	0
Intangibles to total assets	0.01	0	0	0	0
Capex to operating cash flow	0	0	0	0	0
Capex to revenue	0	0	0	0	0
Capex to depreciation	0	0	0	0	0
Stock based compensation to revenue	0.13	0	0	0	0
Graham number	54.73	52.19	65.07	73.63	121.97
ROIC	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04
Return on tangible assets	0.01	0	0.01	0.01	0.03
Graham Net	-63.72	90.91	84.6	83.12	100.68
Working capital	9.29B	7.94B	7.59B	7.36B	9.45B
Tangible asset value	5.13B	15.1B	15.17B	10.25B	10.84B
Net current asset value	-1.96B	6.66B	6.34B	6.06B	8.14B
Invested capital	0.34	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.3
Average receivables	1.56B	1.58B	1.64B	1.67B	1.71B
Average payables	1000K	500K	0	0	0
Average inventory	-2.94B	-3.88B	-5.24B	-5.32B	-4.45B
Days sales outstanding	458.85	627.65	424.29	370.27	688.05
Days payables outstanding	0.54	0	0	0	0
Days of inventory on hand	-1.58K	-7.9K	-7.17K	-10.18K	0
Receivables turnover	0.2	0.14	0.21	0.24	0.13
Payables turnover	167	0	0	0	0
Inventory turnover	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0
ROE	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.07
Capex per share	0	0	0	0	0

AGO Dividend History

AGO Frequently Asked Questions

What is Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock symbol ?

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a BM stock and trading under the symbol AGO

What is Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock quote today ?

Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock price is $77.254 today.

Is Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock public?

Yes, Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly traded company.

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Company Profile

Volume Average 391.94K
Market Capitalization 4.41B
Employee 350
CEO Mr. Dominic John Frederico
Headquarters Hamilton,BM
IPO Date 2004-04-23
Website https://www.assuredguaranty.com

Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. It offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The company insures and reinsures various debt obligations, including bonds issued by the United States state governmental authorities; and notes issued to finance infrastructure projects. It also insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it is involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, pooled infrastructure, and other public finance obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. Structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, consumer receivables securities, pooled corporate obligations, financial products, and other structured finance securities. Additionally, the company offers specialty insurance and reinsurance that include life and aircraft residual value insurance transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services, including management of collateralized loan obligations, and opportunity and liquid strategy funds. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.