Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares [VTI] Stock Forecast

Total market funds such as the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) and SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) are largely interchangeable for most purposes. Their performance and risks are nearly identical most of the time. However, from time to time, a relatively large divergence occurs.

Two key funds fall on hard times as prices soar.

Firm's $42 million liquidity fund failed to meet expectations.

While free cash flow remains at an above-average level on a trailing basis, the decline in the NC 2000's FCF yield is alarming given the macroeconomic headwinds firms are currently facing. The trailing FCF yield for the NC 2000 fell from 1.7% as of 6/30/22 to 1.5% as of 8/12/22.

The VTI is a widely-diversified ETF that has underperformed its long-term averages in 2022, given its sizeable exposure to tech and consumer discretionary stocks. However, we believe the VTI likely bottomed in June, with the current pullback corroborating its June lows.

Q2 2022 Operating Earnings calculated by S&P Global (SPGI) for the S&P 500 dropped from record highs in 1Q22. Q2 2022 Operating Earnings are now lower than Core Earnings for the first time since 3Q20.

Strategies seek to ease anxieties in uncertain times.

Over the past fifteen years, the government debt scene has changed substantially as the government pushed to recover from the Great Recession and the spread of the Covid-19 pandemic. Looking at the statistics, one can see substantial changes in the financial relationships that have changed the whole landscape and have altered how investors manage their portfolios.

The trailing PEBV ratio for the S&P 500 as of 8/12/22 is largely unchanged from 9/30/21. The trailing PEBV ratio compares the S&P 500's expected future profits (as reflected in its price) to its economic book value.

The value of the U.S. dollar is benefitting from the efforts the Federal Reserve is making to tighten up on monetary policy so as to fight inflation. But, the U.S. dollar also seems to be getting stronger because international investors have been investing in the intellectual capital being created in the United States.